Aidan Lyon (PhD Australian National University) is an Assistant Professor in the Department of Philosophy. He works mainly in Philosophy of Science, Philosophy of Probability, Formal Epistemology and Philosophy of Mathematics, but is also interested in topics in Philosophy of Physics and Biology. His recent work has been on understanding the notion of objective probability in various scientific theories, with a focus on Classical Statistical Mechanics and Evolutionary Theory.
He also works on issues surrounding judgement aggregation/consensus formation and biosecurity intelligence gathering and analysis. This work is done in collaboration with the Australian Department of Agriculture, Fisheries and Forestry (DAFF), and is supported by the Australian Centre of Excellence for Risk Analysis (ACERA). He has also worked -- at the Centre for Water in the Minerals Industry (CWiMI), University of Queensland -- on developing decision theory tools to solve problems in sustainable development in the minerals industry. Prior to joining the Department, Aidan was a Postdoctoral Research Fellow at the Sydney Centre for the Foundations of Science, University of Sydney; and in the Philosophy Program at the Australian National University.
Lyon, A. (forthcoming). Why are Normal Distributions Normal?, The British Journal for the Philosophy of Science
Lyon, A. (forthcoming). From Kolmogorov, to Popper, to Renyi: There's No Escaping Humphreys' Paradox (When Generalised), Asymmetries of Chance and Time, A. Wilson (ed.), Oxford University Press.
Lyon, A., Fidler, F., Burgman, M. (forthcoming). Judgement Swapping and Aggregation, AAAI Fall 2012 Technical Report on Machine Aggregation of Human Judgment, AAAI Press
Lyon, A., Grossel, G., Burgman, M., Nunn, M. (forthcoming). Using Internet Intelligence to Manage Biosecurity Risks: A Case Study for Aquatic Animal Health, Diversity and Distributions
Lyon, A. (forthcoming). Kolmogorov's Axioms and its Discontents, The Oxford Handbook of Probability and Philosophy, A. Hajek and C. Hitchcock (eds.), Oxford University Press.
Grossel, G., Lyon, A., Nunn, M. (forthcoming). Open-Intelligence Gathering and Analysis for Biosecurity, Risk-Based Decisions for Biological Threats, T. Walshe (ed.), Cambridge University Press.
Wintle, B., Mascaro, S., Fidler, F., McBride, M., Burgman, M., Flander, L., Saw, G., Twardy, C., Lyon, A., Manning, B. (forthcoming). The Intelligence Game: Assessing Delphi Groups and Structured Question Formats, Proceedings of the 5th Australian Security and Intelligence Conference
Lyon, A. (2012). Mathematical Explanations of Empirical Facts, and Mathematical Realism, The Australasian Journal of Philosophy, 90(3):559-578
Lyon, A., Nunn, M., Grossel, G., Burgman, M. (2012). Comparison of WebBased Biosecurity Intelligence Systems: BioCaster, EpiSPIDER, and HealthMap, Transboundary and Emerging Diseases, 59(3):223-32
Lyon, A. (2011). Deterministic Probability: Neither Chance nor Credence, Synthese, 182(3):413-32
Lyon, A. (2011). Distributed Surveillance: When Social Media Meets Social Epistemology, Theory and Practice, (2010 World Philosophy Day Proceedings)
Lyon, A. (2010). Philosophy of Probability, Philosophies of the Sciences, F. Allhoff (ed.), WileyBlackwell
Moran, C. and Lyon, A. (2009). Modelling Mine Sustainability Indicators Based on a Comprehensible Framework, Sustainable Development Indicators in the Minerals Industry (SDIMI) 2009 Proceedings, July: 205-212
Lyon, A. and Colyvan, M. (2008). The Explanatory Power of Phase Spaces, Philosophia Mathematica, 16 (2): 227-243